Paços De Ferreira 1-2 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2025

Paços De Ferreira
1-2 HT 1-0
Vizela
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paços De Ferreira v Vizela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.83/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.86
+31% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.8 Crosses 20.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vizela
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.59 xG 2.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
248 Passes 364
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2025 Vizela Vizela 2-1 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
25.10.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-1 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela POR2
27.07.2024 Vizela Vizela 2-0 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira HAZ
29.04.2023 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 0-2 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
13.11.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-2 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
30.07.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-2 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela HAZ

Paços De Ferreira 1-2 Vizela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1-2
AWAY Vizela
0.89 xG 1.93
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
183 Passes 386
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela squeezed past Paços De Ferreira 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vizela as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 36% of the ball to Vizela's 64%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.89 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.67 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela?

Paços De Ferreira 1-2 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 29%, draw 22%, Vizela 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vizela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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