Progreso vs Cerro Largo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Cerro Largo — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 1-2 Cerro Largo — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Largo nicked a narrow win over Progreso 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Cerro Largo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Progreso had 60% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 40%, shots finished 13-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Progreso and 1.50 for Cerro Largo.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Cerro Largo?
Progreso 1-2 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Cerro Largo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Progreso 38%, draw 26%, Cerro Largo 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.