CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CA Penarol 3-0 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol ran out comfortable winners over Nacional de Football 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day CA Penarol made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Penarol had 50% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 50%, shots finished 15-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CA Penarol and 0.67 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football?
CA Penarol 3-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 39%, draw 29%, Nacional de Football 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.