Nacional de Football 0-0 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.37/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.81
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
2W-4D-0L
AWAY CA Penarol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.02.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
06.10.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
04.08.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
29.03.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
24.01.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-2 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football HAZ
11.11.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-2 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
0-0
AWAY CA Penarol
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football and CA Penarol played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 50% of the ball to CA Penarol's 50%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.83 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol?

Nacional de Football 0-0 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 36%, draw 29%, CA Penarol 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
6 Jul 2025
21:00 CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football Analysis →