CA Penarol 0-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
0.59/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.94
-50% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
06.10.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
04.08.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
29.03.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
24.01.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-2 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football HAZ
11.11.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-2 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
0-0
AWAY Nacional de Football
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol and Nacional de Football played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, CA Penarol had 47% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 53%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA Penarol and 1.33 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football?

CA Penarol 0-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 35%, draw 29%, Nacional de Football 36%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
6 Jul 2025
00:00 Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol Analysis →