Monarcas Morelia 4-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 9 Aug 2026

📅09/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +8%
1.57/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.53
-12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2026 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
17.11.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
14.11.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 3-1 HT 1-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
24.08.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
13.04.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-1 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
26.10.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monarcas Morelia
4-1
AWAY Cancun FC
19 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Monarcas Morelia ran out comfortable winners over Cancun FC 4-1 in the Mexico - Primera A on 9 Aug 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 19-4.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 2.00 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?

Monarcas Morelia 4-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 49%, draw 23%, Cancun FC 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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