Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
2-1
HT 0-0
CD Tapatio
MEK2
Venados edged past CD Tapatio 3-2 in the Mexico - Primera A on 9 Aug 2026. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.
On the day, shots finished 19-10.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Venados and 2.00 for CD Tapatio.
What was the final score of Venados vs CD Tapatio?
Venados 3-2 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venados vs CD Tapatio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Venados 50%, draw 20%, CD Tapatio 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.