CD Tapatio 4-2 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.4pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.22/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.57
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Venados
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
9 Corners 5
09.08.2025 Venados Venados 1-3 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
06.03.2025 Venados Venados 4-2 HT 3-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
28.09.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
11.01.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
30.08.2023 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.03.2023 Venados Venados 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Tapatio
4-2
AWAY Venados
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ CD Tapatio vs Venados
Match summary & frequently asked questions

CD Tapatio beat Venados 4-2 in the Mexico - Primera A on 17 Jan 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, CD Tapatio had 54% of the ball to Venados's 46%, shots finished 17-16.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.83 for Venados.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Venados?

CD Tapatio 4-2 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 46%, draw 25%, Venados 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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