Correcaminos UAT 0-3 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.46
No
33%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
67%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.9pp
33%
BTTS No
36%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.39/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.34
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
09.08.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
25.01.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 1-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
09.08.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 5-1 HT 2-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
18.03.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
10.11.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
27.10.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Correcaminos UAT
0-3
AWAY CA La Paz
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz ran out comfortable winners over Correcaminos UAT 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; CA La Paz found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

On the day, Correcaminos UAT had 48% of the ball to CA La Paz's 52%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Correcaminos UAT had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 0.83 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz?

Correcaminos UAT 0-3 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 33%, draw 29%, CA La Paz 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA La Paz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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