Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Monarcas Morelia — Team-Based Signals
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Monarcas Morelia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
2-1
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-3 Monarcas Morelia — Actual Match Statistics
Monarcas Morelia cruised past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had 57% of the ball to Monarcas Morelia's 43%, shots finished 16-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.83 for Monarcas Morelia.
What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Monarcas Morelia?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-3 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Monarcas Morelia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 28%, draw 23%, Monarcas Morelia 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.