Bosna-Hersek 1-2 Avusturya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

Bosna-Hersek
1-2 HT 0-0
Avusturya
📅09/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Bosna-Hersek vs Avusturya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 26% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.86
1/2
8%
23.2
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
6%
9.72
X/2
15%
4.15
X/X
14%
5.01
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.13
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bosna-Hersek v Avusturya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bosna-Hersek EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya EU Bookmakers 59%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.60/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.78
-23% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.9 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Bosna-Hersek vs Avusturya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bosna-Hersek
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Avusturya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.64 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
301 Passes 350
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.11.2018 Avusturya Avusturya 0-0 HT 0-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVUL
11.09.2018 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 1-0 HT 0-0 Avusturya Avusturya AVUL
31.03.2015 Avusturya Avusturya 1-1 HT 1-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek HAZ

Bosna-Hersek 1-2 Avusturya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bosna-Hersek
1-2
AWAY Avusturya
1.92 xG 1.30
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
214 Passes 333
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bosna-Hersek vs Avusturya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya edged past Bosna-Hersek 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avusturya as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bosna-Hersek had 42% of the ball to Avusturya's 58%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.92 to 1.30 — on chances, Bosna-Hersek could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bosna-Hersek had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bosna-Hersek and 0.33 for Avusturya.

What was the final score of Bosna-Hersek vs Avusturya?

Bosna-Hersek 1-2 Avusturya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bosna-Hersek vs Avusturya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avusturya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bosna-Hersek 28%, draw 25%, Avusturya 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avusturya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avusturya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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