D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 2-3 Senegal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
13%
5.69
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.0pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Senegal EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.00/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.66
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
Crosses 15.9
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Senegal
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.41 xG 2.36
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
228 Passes 253
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
7 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.06.2024 Senegal Senegal 1-1 HT 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti DKE
22.01.2023 Senegal Senegal 3-0 HT 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti AUŞ
03.09.2011 Senegal Senegal 2-0 HT 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti AFUK
05.09.2010 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 2-4 HT 0-3 Senegal Senegal AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
2-3
AWAY Senegal
1.96 xG 2.10
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
152 Passes 454
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Senegal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Senegal nicked a narrow win over D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Senegal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti had 31% of the ball to Senegal's 69%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.96 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Senegal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti and 2.50 for Senegal.

What was the final score of D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Senegal?

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 2-3 Senegal in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Senegal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Senegal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 29%, draw 32%, Senegal 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Senegal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Senegal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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