Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.41/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.20
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 28.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
159 Passes 287
53% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
25.01.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
19.10.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
10.08.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
18.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
26.02.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Ameliano 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Sportivo Trinidense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 46% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 54%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 0.67 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 37%, draw 29%, Sportivo Ameliano 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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