İskoçya 3-1 Yunanistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Oct 2025

📅09/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 37% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.0
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.84
X/2
17%
5.76
X/X
19%
4.08
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
13%
3.91
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskoçya EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunanistan EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.28/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.71
+18% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +141%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 80%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.4 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskoçya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Yunanistan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 2.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
432 Passes 428
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 İskoçya İskoçya 0-3 HT 0-2 Yunanistan Yunanistan AVUL
20.03.2025 Yunanistan Yunanistan 0-1 HT 0-1 İskoçya İskoçya AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskoçya
3-1
AWAY Yunanistan
1.19 xG 1.67
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
247 Passes 553
84% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İskoçya vs Yunanistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskoçya got the better of Yunanistan 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; İskoçya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İskoçya had 33% of the ball to Yunanistan's 67%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.19 to 1.67 — on chances, Yunanistan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İskoçya and 1.50 for Yunanistan.

What was the final score of İskoçya vs Yunanistan?

İskoçya 3-1 Yunanistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskoçya vs Yunanistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunanistan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split İskoçya 34%, draw 30%, Yunanistan 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yunanistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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