Leyton Orient 3-0 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 33% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.69
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
15%
5.43
X/2
14%
5.54
X/X
9%
4.49
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
24%
3.81
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.7pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.10/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.38
-27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
374 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 66%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.4 Crosses 17.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blackpool
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
276 Passes 284
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
19.08.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
06.05.2017 Blackpool Blackpool 3-1 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
19.11.2016 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN2
20.01.2007 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
30.09.2006 Blackpool Blackpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
3-0
AWAY Blackpool
2.23 xG 1.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
212 Passes 340
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient swept aside Blackpool 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Blackpool at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 41% of the ball to Blackpool's 59%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.23 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.50 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Blackpool?

Leyton Orient 3-0 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 33%, draw 24%, Blackpool 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Blackpool), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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