Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 HT 0-1
Manchester City
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.59
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
22%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.64
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
12%
8.83
X/2
17%
4.53
X/X
13%
6.22
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.26
2/X
9%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.61/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.32
+47% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 85%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.7
20.1 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Manchester City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.96 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
371 Passes 544
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.04.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-4 HT 0-3 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
21.10.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
24.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 1-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
22.10.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 3-1 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
20.04.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
23.10.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-4 HT 0-3 Manchester City Manchester City İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1
AWAY Manchester City
2.29 xG 2.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
372 Passes 586
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion nicked a narrow win over Manchester City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 40% of the ball to Manchester City's 60%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.29 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 2.83 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City?

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 29%, draw 28%, Manchester City 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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