Bochum 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
68%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.93
2-3 Goals
39%
2.18
4-5 Goals
25%
2.47
6+ Goals
17%
4.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
14.1
1/2
6%
19.75
1/X
4%
21.85
X/1
8%
20.75
X/2
16%
3.65
X/X
6%
9.56
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
46%
1.44
2/X
4%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+6.4pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.8pp
68%
Away Win
72%
-4.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 77%
+25% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
0.95/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.92
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +15%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 528 · 86%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
14.1 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.72 xG 2.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
247 Passes 428
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Bochum Bochum 0-5 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
20.12.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 HT 3-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
27.05.2023 Bochum Bochum 3-0 HT 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
25.01.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
10.04.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
20.11.2021 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-1
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
0.70 xG 1.18
29% Ball Possession 71%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
215 Passes 641
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum and Bayer Leverkusen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Bayer Leverkusen carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bochum had 29% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 71%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.70 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bochum and 2.00 for Bayer Leverkusen.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bochum 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Bochum 17%, draw 15%, Bayer Leverkusen 68%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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