Hearts 1-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.63
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.85
X/1
23%
4.04
X/2
4%
15.6
X/X
8%
7.48
2/1
9%
20.6
2/2
9%
12.5
2/X
5%
20.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.3pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.80/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.82
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
23.8 Crosses 12.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
379 Passes 216
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.08.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 2-3 HT 2-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
06.04.2025 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
05.01.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
01.09.2024 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.02.2023 Hearts Hearts 3-1 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
24.12.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
1-1
AWAY Dundee United
0.45 xG 0.34
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
370 Passes 183
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts and Dundee United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Hearts carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hearts had 63% of the ball to Dundee United's 37%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.45 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hearts and 1.17 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Dundee United?

Hearts 1-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hearts 65%, draw 19%, Dundee United 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
9 Nov 2025
18:00 Dundee FC vs Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Aberdeen vs Motherwell Analysis →
19:00 Celtic vs Kilmarnock Analysis →