Aberdeen 1-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.43
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.37
X/2
15%
6.05
X/X
8%
5.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
10%
4.1
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.49/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.30
-21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
24.6 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Motherwell
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
382 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
20.09.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKLK
29.03.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 2-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
05.01.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
14.09.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
27.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-1
AWAY Motherwell
0.80 xG 0.68
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 543
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen and Motherwell couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Aberdeen had 35% of the ball to Motherwell's 65%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aberdeen and 1.17 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Motherwell?

Aberdeen 1-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 43%, draw 25%, Motherwell 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberdeen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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