Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.16
Draw
11%
6.26
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.61
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.68
2-3 Goals
36%
2.04
4-5 Goals
30%
2.57
6+ Goals
16%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1.29
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
29.5
X/1
20%
3.82
X/2
2%
32.0
X/X
4%
10.6
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
2%
28.5
2/X
4%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
83%
Home Win
81%
+1.5pp
11%
Draw
13%
-1.9pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
2.77/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.76
+16% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -16%
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
515 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 70%
43.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
28.6 Crosses 13.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Kilmarnock
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.15 xG 1.20
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
622 Passes 140
88% Pass Accuracy 63%
41 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-2 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
12.04.2025 Celtic Celtic 5-1 HT 4-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
18.01.2025 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKK
10.11.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
04.08.2024 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
15.05.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-5 HT 0-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
4-0
AWAY Kilmarnock
2.85 xG 0.38
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
634 Passes 147
90% Pass Accuracy 64%
41 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic ran out comfortable winners over Kilmarnock 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Celtic had 75% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 25%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 2.85 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Celtic and 0.50 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Celtic 83%, draw 11%, Kilmarnock 7%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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