Minnesota United 3-3 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
12%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
11%
6.49
X/2
15%
5.19
X/X
11%
4.69
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
19%
3.24
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.35/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.20
-34% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
19.0 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.27 xG 1.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
270 Passes 464
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2025 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 4-2 HT 3-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
28.10.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 0-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
17.08.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
02.06.2025 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-3 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
25.08.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-3 HT 1-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
27.07.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
3-3
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.78 xG 2.90
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
244 Passes 458
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 43
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United and Seattle Sounders couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Seattle Sounders at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Minnesota United had 38% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 62%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.78 to 2.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Minnesota United and 1.83 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders?

Minnesota United 3-3 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 33%, draw 24%, Seattle Sounders 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Seattle Sounders) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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