FC Cincinnati 2-1 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.68
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
16%
6.05
X/2
12%
5.93
X/X
10%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.58
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.27/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.41
-11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
14.7 Crosses 13.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.72 xG 1.64
44% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
335 Passes 456
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
28.10.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
13.07.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-4 HT 2-2 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
18.05.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
15.09.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
12.05.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
2-1
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.49 xG 1.20
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
222 Passes 438
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 39
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati nicked a narrow win over Columbus Crew 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day FC Cincinnati made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 37% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 63%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.67 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?

FC Cincinnati 2-1 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 39%, draw 25%, Columbus Crew 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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