FC Cincinnati 2-4 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒03:36 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.28/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.43
-8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
14.9 Crosses 12.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 498
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
15.09.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
12.05.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
03.12.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-3 HT 2-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
21.08.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
21.05.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-2 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
2-4
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.67 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 Passes 432
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew got the better of FC Cincinnati 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Columbus Crew found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 49% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 51%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.67 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.67 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?

FC Cincinnati 2-4 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 39%, draw 30%, Columbus Crew 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ BTTS Yes
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