Columbus Crew 4-0 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.33
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
23%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.47
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
14%
4.99
X/2
10%
8.11
X/X
10%
6.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.95
2/2
10%
5.21
2/X
9%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.95 — our 12% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +19%
1.54/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.65
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.3 Crosses 10.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
475 Passes 354
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
13.07.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-4 HT 2-2 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
18.05.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
15.09.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
12.05.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
03.12.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-3 HT 2-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
4-0
AWAY FC Cincinnati
3.06 xG 0.04
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
558 Passes 255
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
44 Box Touches 3
20 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew cruised past FC Cincinnati 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 66% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 34%, shots finished 20-1, expected goals 3.06 to 0.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.33 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

Columbus Crew 4-0 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 50%, draw 24%, FC Cincinnati 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ABD More USA - Major League
3 Nov 2025
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