Austin 1-4 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒04:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.45
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
7%
7.43
X/2
21%
4.54
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.69
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 51%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +10%
1.13/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.17
+1% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
18.2 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
378 Passes 456
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2025 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
13.10.2025 Austin Austin 1-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
15.03.2025 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
19.09.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
08.08.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin CONLK
20.06.2024 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
1-4
AWAY Los Angeles FC
2.38 xG 2.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
441 Passes 409
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Austin vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC cruised past Austin 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Austin had 52% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 48%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 2.38 to 2.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Austin and 1.00 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Austin vs Los Angeles FC?

Austin 1-4 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Austin 23%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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