Esperança dAndorra 0-1 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
54%
Away Win
54%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 57%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.93/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.00
-35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esperança dAndorra
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 1-0 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
16.02.2025 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 1-2 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
29.09.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 3-1 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
05.05.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 3-2 HT 0-0 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
03.12.2023 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-3 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
17.09.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-0 HT 1-0 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
POST-MATCH Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada edged past Esperança dAndorra 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Esperança dAndorra and 2.83 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada?

Esperança dAndorra 0-1 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Esperança dAndorra 22%, draw 24%, Penya Encarnada 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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