Corinthians 0-1 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 9 Nov 2025

Corinthians
0-1 HT 0-1
Ceara
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Corinthians vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.42
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.23
X/2
7%
9.25
X/X
14%
4.14
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
10%
8.04
2/X
6%
16.3
Value flag · X/1 at 4.23 — our 24% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Corinthians v Ceara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.48/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.41
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.4 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Corinthians vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ceara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
429 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.07.2025 Ceara Ceara 0-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
06.11.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
17.07.2022 Ceara Ceara 3-1 HT 2-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
26.11.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
15.08.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 3-1 HT 2-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
04.02.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 2-1 Ceara Ceara BR1

Corinthians 0-1 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
0-1
AWAY Ceara
0.86 xG 0.48
78% Ball Possession 22%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
607 Passes 128
89% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara edged past Corinthians 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Corinthians had 78% of the ball to Ceara's 22%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.86 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Ceara?

Corinthians 0-1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 52%, draw 26%, Ceara 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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