Sao Paulo 0-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.2
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
21%
4.16
X/2
8%
10.4
X/X
7%
4.49
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
7%
9.03
2/X
8%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +1%
1.41/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.55
-9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.5 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bragantino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 Passes 283
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2025 Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
20.11.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
07.07.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
09.11.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
09.02.2023 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRPL1
14.08.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
0-1
AWAY Bragantino
0.53 xG 1.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
435 Passes 217
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino edged past Sao Paulo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Sao Paulo carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 65% of the ball to Bragantino's 35%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.53 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.83 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Bragantino?

Sao Paulo 0-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 57%, draw 23%, Bragantino 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sao Paulo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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