Internacional 2-2 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.21
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
21%
5.0
X/2
6%
6.74
X/X
9%
4.14
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
11%
5.11
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
42%
+9.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.36/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.68
-2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.8 Crosses 16.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bahia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 431
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.10.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
29.05.2025 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia LKU
04.04.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional LKU
28.07.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
14.04.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
19.10.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2-2
AWAY Bahia
1.97 xG 2.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
194 Passes 384
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional and Bahia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 37% of the ball to Bahia's 63%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.97 to 2.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Internacional and 1.00 for Bahia.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Bahia?

Internacional 2-2 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Internacional 52%, draw 24%, Bahia 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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