Bahia 1-0 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 32% vs market 28.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.33
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
15%
4.22
X/2
6%
9.16
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
13%
7.66
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.50
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.7 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Internacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
430 Passes 354
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2025 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia LKU
04.04.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional LKU
28.07.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
14.04.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
19.10.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
28.05.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
1-0
AWAY Internacional
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
455 Passes 330
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia nicked a narrow win over Internacional 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bahia had 56% of the ball to Internacional's 44%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bahia and 1.33 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Internacional?

Bahia 1-0 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bahia 50%, draw 25%, Internacional 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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