Criciuma 1-0 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.51
Over 2.5
54%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.19
No
44%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
5.15
6+ Goals
11%
32.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 5.15 — our 24% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
62%
-16.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
38%
+16.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
42%
+14.0pp
44%
BTTS No
58%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.68/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.48
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
25.4 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2025 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
04.10.2024 Criciuma Criciuma 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
20.06.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
23.09.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
03.06.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
21.09.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
1-0
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
2.34 xG 0.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
266 Passes 254
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma nicked a narrow win over Atletico Goianiense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Criciuma had 52% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 48%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.34 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Criciuma's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Criciuma and 0.83 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Atletico Goianiense?

Criciuma 1-0 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 53%, draw 24%, Atletico Goianiense 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Criciuma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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