Vila Nova vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Avai
BR2
0-3
HT 0-2
Vila Nova
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
Vila Nova 2-2 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova and Avai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Vila Nova at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vila Nova had 37% of the ball to Avai's 63%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.81 to 1.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vila Nova and 1.00 for Avai.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Avai?
Vila Nova 2-2 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 47%, draw 26%, Avai 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.