Ludogorets Razgrad 2-3 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.55/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.69
+32% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
04.12.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-4 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.08.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
15.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
22.10.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
14.04.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-2 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2-3
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali edged past Ludogorets Razgrad 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Ludogorets Razgrad carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 65% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 35%, shots finished 22-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali?

Ludogorets Razgrad 2-3 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 58%, draw 23%, Arda Kardzhali 18%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5
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