AGF Aarhus 2-3 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
2.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.50
+0% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
27.0 Crosses 15.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY SonderjyskE
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 285
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-1 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
20.07.2025 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
16.02.2025 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-4 HT 1-3 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
02.08.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 4-0 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
08.05.2022 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
18.04.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-1 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
2-3
AWAY SonderjyskE
2.57 xG 1.78
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
494 Passes 233
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE squeezed past AGF Aarhus 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. AGF Aarhus carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 64% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 36%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.57 to 1.78 — on chances, AGF Aarhus could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.00 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE?

AGF Aarhus 2-3 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - Süperlig on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 62%, draw 21%, SonderjyskE 18%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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