AVS 1-1 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 60%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
198 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 1.40
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
240 Passes 522
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2025 AVS AVS 1-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
16.08.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 4-2 HT 2-2 AVS AVS POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1-1
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.80 xG 2.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
266 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AVS vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS and Gil Vicente couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AVS had 45% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 55%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.80 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AVS and 2.00 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of AVS vs Gil Vicente?

AVS 1-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AVS 22%, draw 29%, Gil Vicente 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gil Vicente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✓ Under 2.5
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