North Carolina 0-2 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
0.84/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.10
-24% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
12.5 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Rhode Island
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 398
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 North Carolina North Carolina 0-0 HT 0-0 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
15.06.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 2-1 HT 1-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
28.07.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 2-1 HT 0-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
05.05.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 0-0 HT 0-0 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
0-2
AWAY Rhode Island
0.49 xG 1.69
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
279 Passes 372
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island beat North Carolina 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, North Carolina had 43% of the ball to Rhode Island's 57%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.49 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rhode Island led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for North Carolina and 1.00 for Rhode Island.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs Rhode Island?

North Carolina 0-2 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 31%, draw 28%, Rhode Island 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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