OFI 0-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
61%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
61%
Away Win
66%
-5.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 71%
+2% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.91/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.86
+32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.2
13.1 Crosses 23.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
1W-0D-5L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.66 xG 1.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
218 Passes 426
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
18.08.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
02.10.2023 OFI OFI 2-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
05.03.2023 OFI OFI 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
09.11.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
0-1
AWAY AEK Atina
0.12 xG 2.95
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
219 Passes 455
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 46
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFI vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina edged past OFI 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFI had 36% of the ball to AEK Atina's 64%, shots finished 4-23, expected goals 0.12 to 2.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AEK Atina's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for OFI and 2.33 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of OFI vs AEK Atina?

OFI 0-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split OFI 17%, draw 22%, AEK Atina 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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