Panathinaikos 2-1 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 29% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.03
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
11%
6.77
X/2
11%
4.95
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
25%
3.1
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 48%
+17% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.02/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.83
+9% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
12.9 Crosses 18.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PAOK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
13.04.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 2-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
05.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
15.09.2024 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
15.05.2024 PAOK PAOK 4-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
31.03.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-3 HT 1-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-1
AWAY PAOK
1.01 xG 0.25
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
167 Passes 440
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos squeezed past PAOK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was PAOK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 33% of the ball to PAOK's 67%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 1.01 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.83 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs PAOK?

Panathinaikos 2-1 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 29%, draw 28%, PAOK 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5
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