PAOK 2-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.82
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
19%
4.67
X/2
11%
7.31
X/X
14%
4.63
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
11%
5.61
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +25%
1.20/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.02
-10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.9 Crosses 11.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.70 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 Passes 396
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 2-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
05.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
15.09.2024 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
15.05.2024 PAOK PAOK 4-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
31.03.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-3 HT 1-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
21.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.81 xG 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
360 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK squeezed past Panathinaikos 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, PAOK had 57% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 43%, shots finished 14-2, expected goals 0.81 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PAOK and 1.50 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

PAOK 2-1 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PAOK 47%, draw 27%, Panathinaikos 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
27 Apr 2025
20:00 AEK Atina vs Olympiakos Analysis →