AEK Atina 0-2 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.43
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
8%
5.03
X/2
14%
6.26
X/X
16%
4.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.79
2/X
7%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 15% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.07/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.08
-13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.7 Crosses 18.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.72 xG 1.46
52% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
243 Passes 233
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
02.04.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
02.03.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
26.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 6-0 HT 3-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
24.11.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
15.05.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
0-2
AWAY Olympiakos
1.76 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
300 Passes 179
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos saw off AEK Atina 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Olympiakos found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AEK Atina had 60% of the ball to Olympiakos's 40%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.76 to 1.12 — on chances, AEK Atina could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AEK Atina and 2.33 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Olympiakos?

AEK Atina 0-2 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 38%, draw 27%, Olympiakos 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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YUN More Greece - Super League
27 Apr 2025
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