Olympiakos 1-0 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.75
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
20%
4.44
X/2
8%
7.74
X/X
14%
4.15
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
6.44
2/X
4%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.37/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.20
+1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.8 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY AEK Atina
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.99 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
248 Passes 288
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
02.03.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
26.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 6-0 HT 3-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
24.11.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
15.05.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
31.03.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-0
AWAY AEK Atina
0.53 xG 0.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
203 Passes 160
66% Pass Accuracy 57%
23 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos nicked a narrow win over AEK Atina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olympiakos had 53% of the ball to AEK Atina's 47%, shots finished 8-1, expected goals 0.53 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Olympiakos and 0.67 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs AEK Atina?

Olympiakos 1-0 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 45%, draw 25%, AEK Atina 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
13 Apr 2025
16:30 Asteras Tripolis vs OFI Analysis →
19:00 Panathinaikos vs PAOK Analysis →
19:30 Aris Saloniki vs Atromitos Analysis →