Asteras Tripolis 2-1 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.51
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.4
X/2
8%
8.54
X/X
16%
4.51
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
12%
6.95
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.36/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.11
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
24.5 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY OFI
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 1.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 Passes 430
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2025 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
26.02.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUK
15.02.2025 OFI OFI 2-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.11.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
27.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
21.12.2023 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2-1
AWAY OFI
1.28 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
257 Passes 387
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis nicked a narrow win over OFI 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 42% of the ball to OFI's 58%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.28 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.83 for OFI.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs OFI?

Asteras Tripolis 2-1 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 43%, draw 29%, OFI 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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