OFI 1-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 31% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.21
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.13
X/2
15%
6.98
X/X
19%
4.0
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.22
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.73/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.29
+130% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.80 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 254
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUK
15.02.2025 OFI OFI 2-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.11.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
27.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
21.12.2023 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
26.08.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFI vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI and Asteras Tripolis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, OFI had 61% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 39%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for OFI and 1.67 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of OFI vs Asteras Tripolis?

OFI 1-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split OFI 37%, draw 30%, Asteras Tripolis 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OFI), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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