AEK Atina 2-0 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.06
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.63
X/2
6%
7.06
X/X
20%
3.85
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.85
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.1pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 30%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.75/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.17
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.99 xG 1.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
285 Passes 278
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
26.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 6-0 HT 3-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
24.11.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
15.05.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
31.03.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
07.01.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
2-0
AWAY Olympiakos
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina got the better of Olympiakos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, AEK Atina had 48% of the ball to Olympiakos's 52%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AEK Atina and 2.33 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Olympiakos?

AEK Atina 2-0 Olympiakos in the Greece - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 42%, draw 33%, Olympiakos 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUK More Greece - Cup
2 Apr 2025
17:00 OFI vs Asteras Tripolis Analysis →