Aris Saloniki 1-0 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 35% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.19
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.95
X/1
18%
3.98
X/2
10%
10.1
X/X
19%
4.57
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
6%
9.02
2/X
8%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-15.1pp
35%
Draw
25%
+9.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.41/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.24
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.4 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atromitos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
390 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 2-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
18.08.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
17.02.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.11.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-3 HT 1-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
26.02.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 2-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
05.11.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1-0
AWAY Atromitos
0.29 xG 1.47
65% Ball Possession 35%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki squeezed past Atromitos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 65% of the ball to Atromitos's 35%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.29 to 1.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atromitos.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.00 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Atromitos?

Aris Saloniki 1-0 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 42%, draw 35%, Atromitos 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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