AZ U19 2-1 Aston Villa U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 9 Dec 2025

📅09/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.3 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 2.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
271 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2025 Aston Villa U19 Aston Villa U19 2-2 HT 1-1 AZ U19 AZ U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ U19
2-1
AWAY Aston Villa U19
3.42 xG 0.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
366 Passes 334
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AZ U19 vs Aston Villa U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ U19 edged past Aston Villa U19 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ U19 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, AZ U19 had 50% of the ball to Aston Villa U19's 50%, shots finished 19-2, expected goals 3.42 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AZ U19's control.

What was the final score of AZ U19 vs Aston Villa U19?

AZ U19 2-1 Aston Villa U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ U19 vs Aston Villa U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AZ U19 44%, draw 23%, Aston Villa U19 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AZ U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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