River Plate 1-1 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.65
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+8.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 46%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.87 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
14.08.2022 River Plate River Plate 4-1 HT 2-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
21.02.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-2 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
16.09.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-4 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
01.12.2019 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-3 HT 2-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
03.03.2019 River Plate River Plate 4-2 HT 3-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-1
AWAY Newells Old Boys
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 29
1 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate and Newells Old Boys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, River Plate had 39% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 61%, shots finished 2-29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for River Plate and 1.00 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Newells Old Boys?

River Plate 1-1 Newells Old Boys in the Friendlies on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split River Plate 37%, draw 30%, Newells Old Boys 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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