Al-Sadd 1-1 Alhowra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒15:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Sadd The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Alhowra The Market 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al-Sadd vs Alhowra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Sadd and Alhowra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al-Sadd at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Al-Sadd vs Alhowra?

Al-Sadd 1-1 Alhowra in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Sadd vs Alhowra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al-Sadd 47%, draw 24%, Alhowra 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al-Sadd) ✗ Over 2.5
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