Tuwaiq 1-2 Hottain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
51%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Tuwaiq win — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuwaiq The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hottain The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tuwaiq vs Hottain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hottain edged past Tuwaiq 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tuwaiq at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Tuwaiq vs Hottain?

Tuwaiq 1-2 Hottain in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuwaiq vs Hottain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuwaiq win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tuwaiq 51%, draw 21%, Hottain 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tuwaiq)
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