10/01/2024
·
15:50
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Jerash FC vs Al-Noor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
49%
Home Win
58%
24%
Draw
23%
27%
Away Win
19%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jerash FC v Al-Noor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jerash FC
The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Noor
The Market 22%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
343 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
319 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Jerash FC vs Al-Noor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jerash FC squeezed past Al-Noor 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jerash FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Jerash FC vs Al-Noor?
Jerash FC 2-1 Al-Noor in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jerash FC vs Al-Noor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jerash FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jerash FC 49%, draw 24%, Al-Noor 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerash FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Jerash FC)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
SUUD2
More Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division
10 Jan 2024